イノマティブの今日の本命

JRAの重賞を予想していきます

【Prediction】ヴィクトリアマイル

 

I'm lacking topics of Germany life for this blog.

It's about time to stop hunting monsters at home and go out on weekends.

 

 

Life in Germany

Recycling system of bottles and cans 

When we buy water in a plastic bottle or beer in a can in Germany shops, we have to pay €0.25 deposit per bottle or can.

However, we can get it back if we deal with empty bottles and cans in a correct manner.

Almost all shops in Germany have recycling machines like the following.

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By putting empty bottles and cans in the machine, we can get a receipt on which the number of bottles and cans we put in, that is, the returned deposit is written.

If we show this receipt to a cashier, we can get a discount.

This system is called "Pfand".

I think that Pfand plays an important role in reducing trush in Germany.

 

 

Prediction

 

ヴィクトリアマイルGⅠ、東京、芝1600m)

Favorite : サウンドキアラ (the 6th popular)

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・In this race, the most popular horse is ,of course, ⑥グランアレグリア with Lemaire-san. She won three GⅠ reces in a row last year and it is said that she is the strongest in sprint races among active horses. The fact that the win odds of her is about 1.5 times proves her potential.

・However, I think that this odds is too low. She lost to 4th in the last race "大阪杯" because she isn't familiar with such long distance and bad turf condition. I judge that this experience has a bad influence on her performance. Actually, I love グランアレグリア, but I select another horse as the favorite this time.

・The favorite of ヴィクトリアマイル is ⑫サウンドキアラ. ヴィクトリアマイル is famous as "repeater race", which means that the horse who shows good performance in past this race tends to make a good run. ⑫サウンドキアラ was the 2nd place in this race last year. I expect that she run well this year again.

・For exactly the same reason, ⑪ダノンファンタジー (the 8th popular) is also attractive. She was the 5th place last year, but the difference between サウンドキアラ and ダノンファンタジー was only 0.2 seconds.

・I bought the win tickets of above two horses. In case ⑥グランアレグリア run well without promlems, I also bought the quinella tickets.

Betting ticket

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Total : ¥2,000

 

 

 

 

Ino-meter : Losing 1 race in a row

 

Lemaire-meter : 

When I bet           → 2-3-1-9  (Today's race)

When I don't bet  → 4-1-3-8