イノマティブの今日の本命

JRAの重賞を予想していきます

【Prediction】エルムS&レパードS

 

One month ago, I declared that I would write a review blog only when my betting is correct. However, I have not had such a chance since then. The last time that I got money was 28th May. I would like to show a large red "HIT (的・中)" as soon as possible.

 

 

Life in Germany

Bowling

As mentioned last week, I organized a bowling event with my team members. It was held on Thursday, when the temperature recorded the highest value of this year, 38 degC! I was afraid that the bowling stadium didn't have an air conditioner, but the stadium has a good conditioner and I was relieved.

 

After asking my colleagues for help, I was able to start a game somehow. The German bowling stadium had a romantic atmosphere.

f:id:inovative:20220807055813j:image

While playing the game, of course, we were drinking beer.

The last time that I had played bowling was maybe more than 5 years ago and I struggled with remembering know-how to throw a ball straight. I wanted to score more than 100pts, but it was not achieved. 

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In the middle of the 2nd game, our booking time was up and we had to finish the game before playing 10 rounds. This rule was different from Japanese common bowling stadiums.

 

I totally enjoyed bowling, but I regret that I was not able to get a strike. If I have a chance, I would like to visit it again.

I'm suffering from a muscle pain on my right arm now...

 

 

Prediction

エルムステークスGIII、札幌、ダート1700m)

My favorite : ③Omega Rainbow  (2nd favorite)

・Based on the results of this race in the past few years, horses whose last race is マリーンS are more likely to be within Top3. ③Omega Rainbow satisfies this condition. His rank in the last マリーンS was the 4th place, but horses in a front position are clearly advantageous in that race and it was a difficult situation for ③Omega Rainbow. I would rather give him a good reputation on his performance. Moreover, he got the 2nd place in this race last year, which makes my prediction more reliable.

・In addition to him, I would like to bet History Maker and ⑪Lord Regalis because they got a good rank in a recent graded race.

・I bought quinella tickets consisting of ③Omega Rainbow and one of the other above horses.

Betting ticket

Total : ¥1,000

 

 

レパードステークスGIII、新潟、ダート1800m)

My favorite : ⑨Hapi  (3rd favorite)

・He had never lost in races held by JRA. He got the 4th place in his last race, but it was not held in a JRA racecourse and the field condition was so bad. Therefore, I think this defeat can be ignored. If this race is excluded from his career, he looks quite promising because only the 1st place can be seen in his status.

・Besides him, ②Taisei Drefong and ⑩Ho O Roulette are gathering a majority of votes and I agree with this evaluation. These 2 horses look good in terms of their past results and jockeys.

・I bought trifecta tickets, where ⑨Hapi is predicted to get the 1st place and the above other horses are set in the 2nd and 3rd place. With the rest of money, I added the cases where ①Geraldo Barows is set in the 3rd place. I just bet the favorite horses this time.

Betting ticket

Total : ¥1,000

 

 

 

Total in 2022 : ¥-45,680

Collection rate : 46.6%

Hitting rate : 6.7% (5/75)

 

Ino-meter : Losing 18 race in a row

 

Lemaire-meter : 

My favorite                                                  → 0-2-0-2

Included in my betting (NOT my favorite)  → 0-3-1-2

NOT included in my betting                       → 1-4-0-12

(Lemaire-san won't join the graded races today.)