イノマティブの今日の本命

JRAの重賞を予想していきます

【Prediction】菊花賞

 

I have an appointment to play Mahjong every week in October.

When I played it last week, my dream almost came true.

I got 8000-all with 清一色 & ドラ3 in East 1.

f:id:inovative:20211024043809p:plain

After getting 1100-all in the 2nd round of East 1, l could do 聴牌 of 四暗刻 in the 3rd round of East 1.

f:id:inovative:20211024043845p:plain

As a result, this 役満 was not able to be achieved, but I could have made all other players bankrupt if I had drawn 🀌 or 🀙.

I’d like to achieve this situation someday.

 

I will play three-player Mahjong with my friends today.

My goal is at least one 役満.

 

 

Life in Germany

Rothenburg ob der Tauber

I went to Rothenburg ob der Tauber (ローテンブルグ) yesterday.

This town is small, but it's popular with tourists due to its beautiful cityscape.

 

Access

It took more than 4 hours and I had to change trains 4 times for one-way.

In addition, German trains are not so reliable as Japanese ones and their departure is often late.

I have been more patient since I came to Germany.

On the other hand, I could save half of the fare because I have a special ticket which was given by my company.

This was the only advantage.

 

Cityscape

f:id:inovative:20211024053630j:image
f:id:inovative:20211024053625j:image
f:id:inovative:20211024053636j:image
f:id:inovative:20211024053620j:image
f:id:inovative:20211024053614j:image

The colorful houses were lined up.

The first photo is a main spot in Rothenburg and it was crowded.

 

Medieval Crime Museum

I found the strange museum.

In this museum, materials relating to crime, punishment and trial are displayed.

In particular, various torture devices were impressive.

f:id:inovative:20211024053755j:image
f:id:inovative:20211024053749j:image
f:id:inovative:20211024053733j:image
f:id:inovative:20211024053743j:image
f:id:inovative:20211024053801j:image
f:id:inovative:20211024053739j:image

It was interesting that there were not only German and English instructions but also Japanese ones.

Do they think that Japanese are sadist and like these devices?

The beautiful town and the cruel museum were not harmonized.

 

Castle Wall

Rothenburg is surrounded by castle walls.

That is why I had to pass through a gate to enter this town.

f:id:inovative:20211024054127j:image
f:id:inovative:20211024054121j:image

Moreover, I could go inside the wall and walk on it.

This reminded me of "Attack on Titan (進撃の巨人)".

f:id:inovative:20211024054312j:image
f:id:inovative:20211024054302j:image
f:id:inovative:20211024054256j:image
f:id:inovative:20211024054307j:image

 

That's all about the trip.

I'd like to visit one or two more spots before going back to Japan at the end of the year.

 

 

Prediction

 

菊花賞GI阪神、芝3000m)

Favorite : ⑤Red Genesis (the 2nd popular)

f:id:inovative:20211024073053j:image

・A main reason why I like this horse is that he ran well in 2 graded races held in Chukyo racecourse 2200m. It's said that Chukyo racecourse 2200m is tough because horses have to go up the slope twice. I think that this characteristic will match with this long-distance race, 菊花賞.

・In addition, a starting position (a horse number) is important especially in a long-distance race. I'd like to select a horse with an inside number.

・In terms of a horse number, I'm also interested in ③Titleholder. Since he usually run in a front position, this number maybe give him an advantage.

・For the same reason, I took the courage to exclude ⑱Orthoclase, which Lemaire-san will ride, from my betting.

・In conclusion, I bought the quinella place ticket composed of ③Titleholder and ⑤Red Genesis.

Betting ticket

f:id:inovative:20211024073058j:image

Total : ¥2,000

 

 

 

Total in 2021 : ¥-27,680

Collection rate : 76%

Hitting rate : 12% (12/101)

 

Ino-meter : Losing 4 race in a row

 

Lemaire-meter : 

When I bet           → 8-8-1-15

When I don't bet  → 5-2-4-16  (Today's race)