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JRAの重賞を予想していきます

【Prediction】阪神JF&カペラS

 

I will be in Japan next week if my result of Corona test is negative.

According to my boss, who arrived at Japan yesterday, it took about 8 hours from the arrival at Haneda airport to the departure to a hotel due to some procedures.

I hope that I will be able to go back to Japan without any problems.

 

Today, I would like to introduce my favorite Youtube movies like nonstyle213-san and kazukichix-san because I don't have any special topics.

The first two are short movies, but they made me laugh so much.


www.youtube.com


www.youtube.com

 

The next two are uploaded by a Japanese comedian and famous gambler, Soshina.


www.youtube.com


www.youtube.com

 

In these movies, he deals with a mathematical question from the perspective of Pachinko.

His logic can be used only in Pachinko, but I like such a crazy movie.

I agree with him that we can realize the usefulness of mathematics when gambling.

I'm not familiar with Pachinko, but I think that mathematics is also necessary for horse racing.

In particular, when considering a box type or a formation type of betting tickets, the knowledge of combinations (nCr) or permutations (nPr) is needed in order to understand how many tickets we have to buy.

I think that horse racing is allowed to play only for smart people like me.

 

Soshina also shows his prediction via Youtube.

It is funny that he has many characters.


www.youtube.com


www.youtube.com


www.youtube.com

 

By the way, I'm "Total minus ¥200,000 kun".

 

 

Prediction

 

阪神ジュベナイルフィリーズGI阪神、芝1600m)

Favorite : ⑩Circle of Life (the 3rd popular)

f:id:inovative:20211212073938j:image

・I was impressed by her last race because the time in the last straight was so fast. This characteristic is necessary for the present Hanshin Racecourse. The 1st and 2nd popular horses also look strong, but the concern is that their jockeys will ride them for the first time. From this perspective, ⑩Circle of Life has no problem because Demuro-san rode her in all of her races.

・Even though I have the above concern, I can't ignore the 2nd popular horse ⑧Sternatia, which Lemaire-san will ride.

・Based on these points, I bought only one quinella ticket composed of these 2 horses. 

Betting ticket

f:id:inovative:20211212073943j:image

Total : ¥2,000

 

 

カペラステークスGIII、中山、ダート1200m)

Favorite : ⑨Omega Rainbow (the 6th popular)

f:id:inovative:20211212073948j:image

・Many horses which want to run in a front position will take part in this race. In this case, it is possible that a pace of race becomes fast and those horses can't show their full performance. That is why I selected ⑨Omega Rainbow, who usually runs in a rear position and can accelerate quickly in the last straight.

・It is a good news that his odds is more than 10 times now even though he got the 2nd and 3rd place in graded races recently.

・I simply bought the win ticket of him.

Betting ticket

f:id:inovative:20211212073952j:image

Total : ¥1,000

 

 

p.s.

It was 阪神JF in 2018 that I mentioned for the first time in this blog, which means that 3 years has already passed since we started a blog. 

Time flies.

 

 

 

 

Total in 2021 : ¥-10,600

Collection rate : 93%

Hitting rate : 11% (14/122)

 

Ino-meter : Losing 4 race in a row

 

Lemaire-meter : 

When I bet           → 10-10-1-20  (Today's race)

When I don't bet  → 7-3-5-16