イノマティブの今日の本命

JRAの重賞を予想していきます

【Prediction】阪神牝馬S&NZT

 

I remember that I won in both 阪神牝馬S and NZT last year just after arriving in Germany.

Moreover, I'm most compatible with 桜花賞, which will be held tomorrow.

Considering these facts, I believe that I will be able to stop this terrible consecutive defeats this weekend.

 

 

Life in Germany

Horse racing in Mannheim

I went to watch horse racing in Mannheim, which is the town next to Heidelberg.

The racecourse is 15km away from my apartment and I went there by bicycle.

I regretted this decision because it was windy and cold.

In addition, there were nothing to see while driving my bicycle and the view was so boring.

f:id:inovative:20220409043111j:image

Before arriving at the racecourse, I was so exhausted.

 

A race started as soon as I entered the racecourse.

This was a nice opportunity to use my GoPro.


www.youtube.com

 

The atmosphere was almost the same as Japan.

Everyone was excited.

The course was smaller than Japan and the maximum number of horses seemed to be 8.

 

Of course, it had a paddock.


f:id:inovative:20220409043135j:image

f:id:inovative:20220409043142j:image

 

While walking around, I studied how to bet.

In the same way as racecourses in Japan, we needed to prepare a mark sheet.

f:id:inovative:20220409043221j:image

However, there were no machine which could read automaticcaly a mark sheet.

I needed to show it to a staff and pay money to her.

As my first attempt, I wanted to bet as small money as possible.

I submitted a marksheet where €1 was marked and the staff said "○%×$☆♭#▲!※  zwei euro  ○%×$☆♭#▲!※."

I couldn't understand her German language, but I guessed she meant the minimum bet was €2.

After paying €2, I could finally get my betting ticket.

f:id:inovative:20220409043225j:image

 

As you expect, I lost in all races.

The only good point was that the cycling was a nice excersise.

 

 

Prediction

阪神牝馬ステークス(GII、阪神、芝1600m)

Favorite : ⑫Magic Castle  (5th popular)

f:id:inovative:20220409101855j:image

・It is lucky that her handicap is lighter even though she got the 2nd place in this race last year.

・She is not so popular this time due to her recent defeats, but it is a chance to get high dividend from my point of view.

・I think 5 more popular horses will occupy higher ranks in this race. Therefore, I decided to buy betting tickets consisting of them. A type of ticket is trifecta. I predict my favorite horse ⑫Magic Castle will win. As candidates for the 2nd or 3rd place, I selected ②Andvaranaut with Fukunaga-san and ③Des Ailes with Kawada-dan. In addition, other popular horses ⑤Akaitorino Musume and ⑨Geraldina are also candidate for the 3rd place.

Betting ticket
f:id:inovative:20220409101915j:plain
f:id:inovative:20220409101920j:plain

Total : ¥1,000

 

 

ニュージーランドトロフィー(GII、中山、芝1600m)

Favorite : ②Teegarden  (2nd popular)

f:id:inovative:20220409101902j:image

・There is no outstanding horse in this race. In other words, all horses have a chance to win or get a higher rank.

・I would like to select horses in terms of jockeys because it is difficult to compare strength of a horse itself. I prefer foreign jockeys, Lemaire-san and Demuro-san. To tell the truth, this is my first time this year to select a horse which Lemaire-san rides as my favorite.

・I bought a quinella ticket composed of ②Teegarden (Lemaire-san) and ⑩Derma Gremlin (Demuro-san).

Betting ticket

f:id:inovative:20220409101924j:image

Total : ¥1,000

 

 

 

Total in 2022 : ¥-30,850

Collection rate : 24.9%

Hitting rate : 5.3% (2/38)

 

Ino-meter : Losing 34 race in a row

 

Lemaire-meter : 

My favorite                                                  → 0-0-0-0  (Today's race)

Included in my betting (NOT my favorite)  → 0-1-0-1

NOT included in my betting                       → 0-3-0-9