【Prediction】大阪杯 - イノマティブの今日の本命

One year has passed since I came to Germany.

This can be guessed from the fact that the last race I watched in Japan was 大阪杯.

Where will I watch this race next year?

By the way, I have lost my confidence regarding my prediction for horse racing.

I plan to challenge races held in Germany because I noticed that it's impossible to get back money from JRA.

I will go to a racecourse in the town next to Heidelberg today after checking the result of 大阪杯.

Life in Germany
- Road to "Tama-ten"
Prediction
- 大阪杯（GI、阪神、芝2000m）
  - Betting ticket

Life in Germany

Road to "Tama-ten"

I could finally become "Jan-sei".

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My condition was so good recently.

To tell the truth, I recorded my status every 100 games as below.

From these data, I can calculate the distribution of my ranks every 100 games.

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It is clear that the number of the 4th place is small recently.

It is important to avoid the 4th place in "Mahjong-Soul" because the penalty point is so large.

I would like to keep this condition until I can become "Tama-ten".

After achieving "Jan-sei", I could get the right to play in "Oza-no-ma".

Only "Jan-sei" and "Tama-ten" are allowed to play in this room.

However, almost no one use "Oza-no-ma" and it takes a few minutes until 4 people are completed.

This is maybe because the point we can get or lose is almost the same as the one level lower room "Gyoku-no-ma" even though competitors are strong.

In addition, we can't use the assist function in "Oza-no-ma", which means that

・"Dora" doesn't shine

・The color of the same tile as I touch is not changed in the field.

・The kind and number of the winning tiles is not shown.

Judging from these facts, it makes sense that most "Jan-sei" use "Gyoku-no-ma" instead of "Oza-no-ma".

The shortage of people in "Oza-no-ma" happens especially when I would like to play mahjong at night because this period correspond to midnight or morning in Japan.

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That is why I also will use "Gyoku-no-ma" from now on.

I would like to finish this section by introducing my recent favorite game.

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Although my rank was the 4th place in the final round, I could be the top with this "tsumo".

It was so exciting!

Prediction

大阪杯（GI、阪神、芝2000m）

Favorite : ⑥Efforia (1st popular)

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・He was selected as the representative horse in 2021 because he won in 3 GI races. Everyone knows his strength and he is of course the most popular horse in this race. Although his odds is so low, I would like to select him as my favorite because I can't imagine that he will be defeated by other horses.

・The important thing in this race is to find strong horses other than ⑥Efforia. The horses I would like to mention are ⑦Win Marilyn and ⑩Hishi Iguazu. The ablity to run in a relatively front position is needed in this race or in recent Hanshin Racecourse. They can run in such a way and their odds are moderate.

・As a same type of horse, we also can mention ④Jack d’Or and ⑭Lei Papale. They are the 2nd and 3rd popular horse, but I have some concerns. Regarding ④Jack d’Or, this is the first time for him to take part in a GI race. As for ⑭Lei Papale, the results in her recent races are not so good. From the perspective of odds, I prefer ⑦Win Marilyn and ⑩Hishi Iguazu.

・In conclusion, I bought the quinella tickets including ⑥Efforia. The other part of the tickets is ⑦Win Marilyn or ⑩Hishi Iguazu.