I'm so glad to hear that "Total balance minus 200 million yen-kun" started again posting his prediction of horse racing on YouTube instead of "Total balance minus 100 million yen-kun". I can enjoy his videos every week as before.
Prediction
菊花賞（GI、阪神、芝3000m）
My favorite : None
・There is no outstanding horse this year even though this is one of famous GI races. Therefore, everyone says it is difficult to predict the winner and a large amount of dividend is more likely to happen. I agree with this perspective and I'm willing to bet on dark horses.
・In conclusion, I bought trio tickets with a box type, where the following 6 horses are included. Please note that my betting excludes 3 low-odds horses!
③Pradaria : Some experts say he is in a good condition. Considering that he got the 8th place in his last race, his odds is too low at the moment. I think this shows the opinion offered by the experts is true and there is some reasons why we can trust on him.
⑤Yamanin Zest : There is a famous maxim regarding 菊花賞. "In a long-distance race, we should select horses based on jockeys." This means that jockeys' skill is very important in this kind of race. I would like to bet on the skillful jockey, Yutaka Take.
⑫Verona City : Children of Epiphaneia tend to run well in 菊花賞 recently. The jockey change to Kawada-san is also a good point because it is said that he is good at Hanshin Racecourse.
⑬Dinasta : This horse likes spurting from the opposite straight, which means he can keep a high pace for a long time. This ability fits 菊花賞.
⑰Justin Palace : Even though he won a preliminary race easily, his odds is higher than I expected. That race was held in a course where stamina is needed. Of course, stamina is an important factor in 菊花賞.
⑱Seleccion : For the same reason as ⑤Yamanin Zest, I would like to trust on Fukunaga-san. He was always within the top3 in 菊花賞 in the past 3 years.
Betting ticket
Total : ￥2,000
Total in 2022 : -60,470 (JPY) & -108 (EUR)
Collection rate : 47.6%
Hitting rate : 5.9% (6/102)
Ino-meter : Losing 21 race in a row
Lemaire-meter :
My favorite → 0-2-0-3
Included in my betting (NOT my favorite) → 1-3-1-5
NOT included in my betting → 1-5-2-18
(Lemaire-san won't join the graded race today.)
