【Prediction】富士S

I'm so sad to hear that "Total balance minus 100 million yen-kun" retired from his weekly prediction of horse racing. He encouraged me every week after I lose money because he usually loses more money. I hope his retirement is a joke and he will post YouTube soon.

Life in Germany
- Road to 魂天
Prediction
- 富士ステークス（GII、東京、芝1600m）
  - Betting ticket

Life in Germany

Road to 魂天

I reached 900th game in Mahjong-Soul this week.

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As you can see, while the percentage of the 1st place increased, that of the 4th place also increased. This is not so good because the point loss is very large when getting 4th place. It is most important to avoid the 4th place in Mahjong-Soul. Therefore, after I reached "雀聖2" at about 800th game, I'm floating from 2000/6000 to 3000/6000pts.

I think this trend is caused by the beginning of M-league. The M-league players basically eager for the top, which influences me. For example, do you declare "立直" in the following situation? (東1局・親)

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Without "立直", the point is 12000 or 4000-all. With "立直", it is 12000 or 6000-all at least. I decided to do "立直" expecting the benefit of "ツモ", but the result is "流局".

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If the most important thing is to avoid the 4th place, I think it is better to keep silent in this case. I should think Mahjong-Soul and M-league separately.

I wanted to achieve "魂天" before the 1000th game, but it doesn't look promising. Considering that Shibukawa-san achieved it at the 850th game, my mahjong skill is not enough for a professional player. I will continue practicing mahjong as before.

Prediction

富士ステークス（GII、東京、芝1600m）

My favorite : ⑩Serifos (1st favorite)

・The main reason why I selected him as my favorite is that his handicap is light. He took part in 2 GI races this year, but he was not able to be within the top3 (he was 4th place in both races). Because of these defeats, he can have the lightest handicap (54kg) this time. On the other hand, ⑭Danon Scorpion, who is the winner of one of the above 2 GI races, has to run with 56kg handicap. Considering this difference, I think ⑩Serifos will be able to beat ⑭Danon Scorpion.

・I predict ⑩Serifos will win and ⑭Danon Scorpion will reach the goal next to him. Therefore, I bought the following trifecta tickets. For the 3rd place, I selected 3 horses which I'm interested in.