イノマティブの今日の本命

JRAの重賞を予想していきます

【Prediction】チューリップ賞&オーシャンS

 

Recently, I stay at home every weekend because it is still cold. If it is sunny and warm this weekend, I plan to go cycling or take a walk for excercise. However, the weather forcast says the max. temperature is 6 degC. and the min. temperature is minus. I gave up going out.

I checked the weather in Japan by chance. It was surprising that the temperature will reach 20 degC. next week. It sounded good, but I remembered the symptom of hey fever usually starts in this season. I'm lucky to avoid this Japanese terrible spring.

 

By the way, I haven't yet achieved correct prdiction for horse racing this year. I'm recording my result in Excel, but it is not necessary at the moment because my collection rate and hitting rate are clearly zero. I would like to start using Excel as soon as possible.

 

 

Prediction

チューリップ賞(GII、阪神、芝1600m)

My favorite : ⑧Dura (Odds : 1st)

・In this race, horses whose odds are lowest tend to run well. The result of such horses is 6-1-1-2 in the past 10 years. ⑧Dura fits this condition this year. She has already won a graded race and her running time in the last 600m is always fastest. I can't find any reasons why I exclude her from my betting.

・Besides her, I would like to focus on 5 horses whose rank of odds is between the 6th and 10th. Since I have some concerns about other low-odds horses, I judged it is better to bet on the above 5 horses. Especially, I paid attention to ①Anri Road and ⑨Mozu Meimei. Regarding the former horse, the horse whom she competed with in her debut race won a graded race afterwards, which probably means the level of this debut race was high. As for ⑨Mozu Meimei, the jockey Mr. Take is good at be within the top 3 in this kind of preliminary race where the top 3 can get a right to join a GI race.

・Based on these ideas, I bought the following TRIO tickets.

Betting ticket

Total : ¥1,000

 

 

オーシャンステークスGIII、中山、芝1200m)

My favorite : ⑥Jubilee Head (Odds : 1st)

・The main reason why I selected him as my favorite is he is good at Nakayama Racecourse. He won his last race in the same course as this race. This fact supports my predicition.

・In addition to him, ⑮Jasper Jack looks good to bet on because a front runner tends to get a higher rank in this race. Although the large horse number seems bad, he won in a similar situation a few months ago.

・I just bought the QUINELLA ticket consisting of the above 2 horses.

Betting ticket

Total : ¥1,000

 

 

 

Total in 2023 : -23,000 (JPY)

Collection rate : 0%

Hitting rate : 0% (0/22)

 

Ino-meter : Losing 41 race in a row