イノマティブの今日の本命

JRAの重賞を予想していきます

【Celebration】アルゼンチン共和国杯

 

I'm feeling that the stream of my luck is changing in a good direction.

 

 

Review

アルゼンチン共和国杯(GII、東京、芝2500m)

Betting ticket

Total : ¥1,000

Result

1st : ⑦Breakup

2nd : ⑰Heart’s Histoire

3rd : ⑯Heat on Beat

f:id:inovative:20221107001317j:image

GREAT!!

Return : ¥14,590

 

This was the 2nd lowest dividend among 10 patterns I bet, but I'm glad to stop my successive losses and show my talent is genuine. Regarding the reason why I bought the above ticket, please refer my previous blog. In this blog, I would like to mention my courage that I excluded ⑤T O Royal and ⑥Killer Ability gathering most votes from my betting.

As for ⑤T O Royal, everyone expected he was most likely to win. Indeed, he won a GIII race and got the 3rd place in a GI race this spring. However, I decided not to bet him because I didn't think the jockey was reliable. During the race, he looked to run well and I was afraid that he would be within the top3. When all horses came to the final straight, an accident happened. The leading horse ①King of Dragon hit the fence and stopped suddenly. A few horses running near him had to change their course in order to avoid him. Luckily, ⑤T O Royal was also affected by this accident and wasted time slightly. This time loss was critical for him and as a result, he was not able to be within the top 3. I think ①King of Dragon sacrificed himself and kindly block ⑤T O Royal in order to make my betting hit. Thank you, ①King of Dragon.

Regarding ⑥Killer Ability, I was not able to understand why he was gathering many votes. Although he won a GI race last year, he had not shown a good performance this year. The change of jockey to C. Demuro-san might make everyone want to bet him, but I thought it was risky to bet him with such a low odds. This perspective was completely correct and his rank was the 8th place. I can't help praising myself.

Since these 2 horses didn't run well, I got relatively much money. My courageous deicision should be worth admiring.

 

By the way, my annual total balance is as below.

You may think it is impossible to achieve a plus balance, but I will never give up. Considering I won more than 40,000 yen at the end of November last year, no one can expect what will happen in the future. I would like to continue believing my talent.

 

 

Total in 2022 : -55,880 (JPY)  &  -108 (EUR)

Collection rate : 55.5%

Hitting rate : 6.4% (7/110)

 

Ino-meter : Losing 1 race in a row

 

Lemaire-meter : 

My favorite                                                  → 0-2-0-3

Included in my betting (NOT my favorite)  → 2-3-1-6

NOT included in my betting                       → 1-5-2-19